Happy Thanksgiving everyone! It is my sincerest hope that your day is filled with great times with family/friends, wonderful food, and Dallas getting crushed. Last week I had my best week of the season going 14-2 so now it’s time to build upon that. This week features three Thanksgiving Day games so even if your family isn’t pleasant, you’ll still have something fun to do. Who knows, maybe this year there’ll be good games on turkey day. Let’s hit it!
My picks will be in italics.
Patriots @ Lions – Well the games aren’t exactly getting off to a hot start. Now, the Lions have been playing far better football at home but I don’t think that’ll matter. The Patriots are the best team in football right now and I think they’re going to handily take care of the Lions who just can’t catch a break. But you know, I like Thanksgiving traditions. Watching the Lions get hammered each year is almost comforting now. Should the Lions win I think I’d begin collecting bottled water and canned goods. Give me the Patriots on the road.
Saints @ Cowboys – The Cowboys are not back by any stretch of the imagination. They are still a team with loads of problems and this is the week we find that out. The Saints are getting hot again with three straight convincing wins. The Cowboys won’t be getting the innumerable turnovers that the Giants gave them or the absurd amount of injuries that the Lions had to overcome. Nope, they will get decimated. And it will be a fantastic Thanksgiving. Give me the Saints on the road.
Bengals @ Jets – BREAKING NEWS: The Bungles are still a joke. Carson Palmer is less clutch than McNabb. Ochocinco can be beaten in virtual NFL training game by some white guy in Miami. That about describes the Bungles’ season. Meanwhile the Jets are slowly but surely reducing the population of Jets fans by winning so many close and come from behind games. That won’t be the case this week. The Jets will not have to come from behind. Palmer might throw 78 INTs against this defense. Give me the Jets at home to wrap up turkey day.
Packers @ Falcons – Game of the week? I think so. If this game were played in neutral territory it might be a tie because both teams are excellent. However, being that this game is in Atlanta I cannot pick against Matt Ryan. He is now 18-1 in games played in the Georgia Dome and after this weekend I think he’ll be 19-1. The Packers are a very good team but the Falcons are darn near unbeatable at home. Give me the Falcons at home.
Steelers @ Bills – Those poor Bills fans…their team is finally starting to build up some confidence and now they have to play the Steelers. For some odd reason I picked against the Steelers last weekend (I swear, I had reasons!) and I won’t make the same mistake this week. I’m not saying it’ll be a total blowout but it will be decisive. Give me the Steelers on the road.
Panthers @ Browns – Thank goodness the Browns are starting to play respectable football otherwise this might be a game of pure offensive ineptitude. I’m going to go out on a limb and say this will be Colt McCoy’s coming out party and not in that way. The Panthers are without question the worst team in the league and the Browns are a team that’s headed in the right direction now that they finally have a QB. Give me the Browns at home.
Titans @ Texans – What has happened to the Titans? Ever since making the Eagles look silly they’ve become a shell of what they could be. Chris Johnson is getting the yards but no one else is doing anything of note. The loss of Kenny Britt is absolutely killing that team. Randy who? Jeez. Meanwhile the Texans just can’t catch a break losing four games in a row ever since they came off the bye week. That streak will end this weekend. The Titans are imploding and will be starting rookie Rusty Smith at QB. He might make the Houston secondary look good. Give me the Texans at home.
Jaguars @ Giants – What to make of this game? The Giants are falling apart at the seams with more injuries destroying them. The Jaguars are quietly in the lead of the AFC South. The Jaguars defense is a good one to start this weekend because the Giants delight in nothing more than turning the ball over. I think this will be lose but I like the Jaguars on the road.
Vikings @ Redskins – I believe we will see the “Cowboys effect” on the Vikings for a few weeks. With the firing of lame duck coach Brad Childress I think the Vikings will come out with some spark. I also think that the receivers will tear the Redskins’ secondary to pieces. The Vikings have a ton of talent but they’d been missing the spark. I think their new head coach can provide that and propel the Vikings to win some games here to close out the season. Give me the Vikings on the road.
Dolphins @ Raiders – Let’s look this over: No QB. Very few offensive weapons. A decimated offensive line. What do all those equal? The Dolphins horrid offense. The Raiders actually have a pretty decent defense when their leader isn’t getting ejected for boxing. I’m going to go out on a limb and guess that Richard Seymour doesn’t do that again this weekend. As a result I like the Raiders to take care of a Dolphins team that is about as unlucky as the Lions when it comes to health this season. Give me the Raiders at home.
Chiefs @ Seahawks – One of my favorite things is to see fans of really bad teams try and find the positives when their team has gotten blown out. That’s what I see Seahawks fans doing. New flash to those folks: Your team is really bad. Like pretty much next to awful. Their only hope is that they play in the worst division on all of football. I’m talking NFL, NCAA, high school, etc. Nothing is worse than the NFC Worst. The Chiefs are a team in control of their own destiny and I think they take care of business. Give me the Chiefs on the road.
Buccaneers @ Ravens – I am standing by my view that the Ravens are among the very elite in the NFL. I think as the season wears on they are a team built for the long haul of the postseason. I like what the Buccaneers are doing but their issue is taking on good teams on the road. They’ve beaten inferior teams but struggle mightily against elite teams. I like the Ravens at home in fairly convincing fashion.
Eagles @ Bears – You can find my thoughts on the game here.
Rams @ Broncos – The Broncos are in complete free fall mode and the Rams are in prime position to take over the NFC Worst. The Broncos are a tough out at home as the Chiefs found out but I think the Rams have a defense that can give Kyle Orton and company some serious fits. I also love the matchup of the Rams weapons versus the awful defense that Denver has. Give me the Rams on the road.
Chargers @ Colts – Here’s a tricky one. The Chargers are finding their very dangerous late regular season form and the Colts have looked very mortal. But, beating the Colts on their home turf is about as hard as it is to beat the Falcons at home. I think this could also be the game of the week and it will be one that features lots of fireworks. In the end I think Manning redeems himself after last week’s fairly lousy performance and gets the win. Give me the Colts at home.
49ers @ Cardinals – What did we, as America, do to deserve this Monday Night Football matchup? Two lousy teams in a lousy division. Wow. Guess we made ESPN mad. It must’ve been those of you who don’t worship Father Time (Favre). For shame. Anyways, I like the 49ers just because the Cardinals are close to being the worst team in the league. How did they win any game? You got me. Give me the 49ers on the road.
Last week: 14-2